Use of the energy waveform electrocardiogram to detect subclinical left ventricular dysfunction in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

BACKGROUND: Recent guidelines propose N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) for recognition of asymptomatic left ventricular (LV) dysfunction (Stage B Heart Failure, SBHF) in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Wavelet Transform based signal-processing transforms electrocardiogram (ECG) waveforms into an energy distribution waveform (ew)ECG, providing frequency and energy features that machine learning can use as additional inputs to improve the identification of SBHF. Accordingly, we sought whether machine learning model based on ewECG features was superior to NT-proBNP, as well as a conventional screening tool-the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) HF risk score, in SBHF screening among patients with T2DM. METHODS: Participants in two clinical trials of SBHF (defined as diastolic dysfunction [DD], reduced global longitudinal strain [GLS ≤ 18%] or LV hypertrophy [LVH]) in T2DM underwent 12-lead ECG with additional ewECG feature and echocardiography. Supervised machine learning was adopted to identify the optimal combination of ewECG extracted features for SBHF screening in 178 participants in one trial and tested in 97 participants in the other trial. The accuracy of the ewECG model in SBHF screening was compared with NT-proBNP and ARIC HF. RESULTS: SBHF was identified in 128 (72%) participants in the training dataset (median 72 years, 41% female) and 64 (66%) in the validation dataset (median 70 years, 43% female). Fifteen ewECG features showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.81 (95% CI 0.787-0.794) in identifying SBHF, significantly better than both NT-proBNP (AUC 0.56, 95% CI 0.44-0.68, p < 0.001) and ARIC HF (AUC 0.67, 95%CI 0.56-0.79, p = 0.002). ewECG features were also led to robust models screening for DD (AUC 0.74, 95% CI 0.73-0.74), reduced GLS (AUC 0.76, 95% CI 0.73-0.74) and LVH (AUC 0.90, 95% CI 0.88-0.89). CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning based modelling using additional ewECG extracted features are superior to NT-proBNP and ARIC HF in SBHF screening among patients with T2DM, providing an alternative HF screening strategy for asymptomatic patients and potentially act as a guidance tool to determine those who required echocardiogram to confirm diagnosis. Trial registration LEAVE-DM, ACTRN 12619001393145 and Vic-ELF, ACTRN 12617000116325.

Melatonin does not reduce delirium severity in hospitalized older adults: Results of a randomized placebo-controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Delirium is common in older inpatients, causing distress, cognitive decline, and death. Current therapies are unsatisfactory, limited by lack of efficacy and adverse effects. There is an urgent need for effective delirium treatment. Sleep wake cycle is disturbed in delirium; endogenous Melatonin is perturbed, and exogenous Melatonin is a safe and effective medication for sleep disorders. This study aims to determine the effect of oral Melatonin 5 mg immediate release (IR) nightly for five nights on the severity of delirium in older (≥65 years) medical inpatients. METHODS: This was a double-blinded, randomized controlled trial in general internal medicine units of a tertiary teaching hospital. Older inpatients with Confusion Assessment Method positive, hyperactive or mixed delirium within 48 h of admission or onset of in-hospital delirium were included. The primary outcome was change in delirium severity measured with the Memorial Delirium Assessment Scale (MDAS). A previous pilot trial showed 120 participants randomized 1:1 to Melatonin or Placebo would provide 90% power to demonstrate a 3-point reduction in the MDAS. RESULTS: One hundred and twenty participants were randomized, 61 to Melatonin 5 mg and 59 to Placebo. The medication was well tolerated. The mean MDAS improvement was 4.9 (SD 7.6) in the Melatonin group and 5.4 (SD 7.2) in the Placebo group, p-value 0.42, a non-significant difference. A post-hoc analysis showed length of stay (LOS) was shorter in the intervention group (median 9 days [Interquartile Range (IQR) 4, 12] vs. Placebo group 10 [IQR 6, 16] p-value = 0.033, Wilcoxon Rank Sum test). CONCLUSIONS: This trial does not support the hypothesis that Melatonin reduces the severity of delirium. This may be due to no effect of Melatonin, a smaller effect than anticipated, an effect not captured on a multidimensional delirium assessment scale, or a type II statistical error. Melatonin may improve LOS; this hypothesis should be studied.

Associations between potentially inappropriate prescribing and increased number of medications with postdischarge health outcomes among geriatric rehabilitation inpatients: RESORT study.

AIMS: Older adults are vulnerable to medication-related harm mainly due to high use of medications and inappropriate prescribing. This study aimed to investigate the associations between inappropriate prescribing and number of medications identified at discharge from geriatric rehabilitation with subsequent postdischarge health outcomes. METHOD: RESORT (REStORing health of acutely unwell adulTs) is an observational, longitudinal cohort study of geriatric rehabilitation inpatients. Potentially inappropriate medications (PIMs) and potential prescribing omissions (PPOs) were measured at acute admission, and at admission and discharge from geriatric rehabilitation, using Version 2 of the STOPP/START criteria. RESULTS: In total, 1890 (mean age 82.6 ± 8.1 years, 56.3% female) were included. The use of at least 1 PIM or PPO at geriatric rehabilitation discharge was not associated with 30-day and 90-day readmission and 3-month and 12-month mortality. Central nervous system/psychotropics and fall risk PIMs were significantly associated with 30-day hospital readmission (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 1.53; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.09-2.15), and cardiovascular PPOs with 12-month mortality (AOR 1.34; 95% CI 1.00-1.78). Increased number of discharge medications was significantly associated with 30-day (AOR 1.03; 95% CI 1.00-1.07) and 90-day (AOR 1.06; 95% CI 1.03-1.09) hospital readmissions. The use and number of PPOs (including vaccine omissions) were associated with reduced independence in instrumental activities of daily living scores at 90-days after geriatric rehabilitation discharge. CONCLUSION: The number of discharge medications, central nervous system/psychotropics and fall risk PIMs were significantly associated with readmission, and cardiovascular PPOs with mortality. Interventions are needed to improve appropriate prescribing in geriatric rehabilitation patients to prevent hospital readmission and mortality.

Clinical frailty scale score during geriatric rehabilitation predicts short-term mortality: RESORT cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Frailty is associated with poor health outcomes, such as functional decline and institutionalization. The Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) is a judgement-based frailty assessment tool developed to identify frail adults and assess level of frailty. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to determine the association between CFS at admission and discharge, admission-discharge change, and mortality in individuals admitted to geriatric rehabilitation. METHODS: REStORing health of acutely unwell adulTs (RESORT) is a longitudinal, observational inception cohort of consecutive individuals admitted to geriatric rehabilitation at the Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, Australia. The CFS was assessed at admission and discharge from geriatric rehabilitation. Logistic regression was used to examine the association between CFS score at admission and in-hospital mortality. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to analyse associations between CFS at admission and discharge, admission-to-discharge change, and 3-month and 1-year mortality. RESULTS: A total of 1766 participants were included: median age was 83.4 years (Interquartile range [IQR] 77.6-88.4), 57% were female, median length of stay in geriatric rehabilitation was 20 days (13.8-31.7) and median CFS score was 6 (5-7) at both admission and discharge. Increased CFS score was associated with in-hospital mortality (odds ratio [OR] 1.8, 95% CI 1.4-2.4), 3-month mortality and 1-year mortality (admission CFS: hazard ratio [HR] 1.4, 95% CI 1.2-1.6; discharge CFS: HR 1.4, 95% CI 1.2-1.7). Risk of 3-month mortality was increased when CFS score increased from admission to discharge (HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.2-3.8) as compared with when it decreased. CONCLUSION: CFS score at admission and discharge was associated with post-discharge mortality in individuals admitted to geriatric rehabilitation. These findings support the use of the CFS in clinical settings to assist clinical characterisation and decision making.

Predictors for the Transitions of Poor Clinical Outcomes Among Geriatric Rehabilitation Inpatients.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the associations of morbidity burden and frailty with the transitions between functional decline, institutionalization, and mortality. DESIGN: REStORing health of acutely unwell adulTs (RESORT) is an ongoing observational, longitudinal inception cohort and commenced on October 15, 2017. Consented patients were followed for 3 months postdischarge. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Consecutive geriatric rehabilitation inpatients admitted to geriatric rehabilitation wards. METHODS: Patients' morbidity burden was assessed at admission using the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and Cumulative Illness Rating Scale (CIRS). Frailty was assessed using the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) and modified Frailty Index based on laboratory tests (mFI-lab). A multistate model was applied at 4 time points: 2 weeks preadmission, admission, and discharge from geriatric rehabilitation and 3 months postdischarge, with the following outcomes: functional decline, institutionalization, and mortality. Cox proportional hazards regression was applied to investigate the associations of morbidity burden and frailty with the transitions between outcomes. RESULTS: The 1890 included inpatients had a median age of 83.4 (77.6-88.4) years, and 56.3% were female. A higher CCI score was associated with a greater risk of transitions from preadmission and declined functional performance to mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 1.28, 95% CI 1.03-1.59; HR 1.32, 95% CI 1.04-1.67]. A higher CIRS score was associated with a higher risk of not recovering from functional decline (HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.69-0.93). A higher CFS score was associated with a greater risk of transitions from preadmission and declined functional performance to institutionalization (HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.10-1.49; HR 1.23, 95% CI 1.04-1.44) and mortality (HR 1.12, 95% CI 1.01-1.33; HR 1.11, 95% CI 1.003-1.31). The mFI-lab was not associated with any of the transitions. None of the morbidity measures or frailty assessment tools were associated with the transitions from institutionalization to other outcomes. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: This study demonstrates that greater frailty severity, assessed using the CFS, is a significant risk factor for poor clinical outcomes and demonstrates the importance of implementing it in the geriatric rehabilitation setting.

Comparison of the modified Frailty-Index based on laboratory tests and the Clinical Frailty Scale in predicting mortality among geriatric rehabilitation inpatients: RESORT.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the associations of the FI-lab, modified (m)FI-lab and Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) with one-year mortality. STUDY DESIGN: An observational longitudinal inception cohort of inpatients admitted to the geriatric rehabilitation wards in the Royal Melbourne Hospital, Victoria, Australia. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The measured ratio was defined as the proportion of measured laboratory tests to the total number of tests (n = 77). The FI-lab is the proportion of abnormal results to the total measured laboratory tests. The mFI-lab was calculated by dividing the FI-lab by the measured ratio. The measured ratio of laboratory tests, FI-lab, mFI-lab and CFS were assessed at admission to geriatric rehabilitation. Patients' mortality data were obtained from the Registry of Births, Deaths and Marriages Victoria and medical records. RESULTS: The total of 1819 inpatients had a median age of 83.3 [77.5-88.3] years and 56.5% were female. The median measured ratio, FI-lab, mFI-lab and CFS scores were 0.58 [0.47-0.70], 0.31 [0.23-0.38], 0.51 [0.38-0.69] and 6 (Abbasi et al., 2018Gill, Gahbauer, Allore & Han, 2006; Howlett et al., 2014;) respectively. The one-year mortality rate was 17.1%. The measured ratio was not associated with one-year mortality. Higher FI-lab (hazard ratio (HR)=1.180, 95%CI: 1.037-1.343), mFI-lab (HR=1.074, 95%CI: 1.030-1.119) and CFS scores (HR=1.350, 95%CI: 1.191-1.530) were associated with higher risk of one-year mortality. The area under the curve (AUC) of FI-lab, mFI-lab and CFS with one-year mortality were 0.581, 0.587 and 0.612 respectively. CONCLUSION: The FI-lab, mFI-lab and CFS poorly predict mortality in geriatric rehabilitation inpatients despite the statistically significant associations shown.

Association of a modified laboratory frailty index with adverse outcomes in geriatric rehabilitation inpatients: RESORT.

A higher number of laboratory measurements is associated with mortality in patients admitted to hospital, but is not part of the frailty index based on laboratory tests (FILab). This study aimed to modify the FI-Lab (mFI-Lab) by accounting for the number of laboratory measurements and compare its validity to predict institutionalization and mortality at three-month post-discharge with the clinical frailty scale (CFS) in geriatric rehabilitation inpatients. In 1819 patients (median age 83.3 [77.6-88.3], 56.6% female), a higher FI-Lab was not associated with institutionalization but a higher risk of mortality. A higher mFI-Lab was associated with lower odds of institutionalization but a higher risk of mortality. A higher CFS was associated with institutionalization and higher mortality. The Akaike information criterion value was lowest for the CFS, followed by the mFI-Lab and the FI-Lab. The CFS is better than the mFI-Lab predicting short-term adverse outcomes in geriatric rehabilitation inpatients. When using laboratory data to estimate frailty, the mFI-Lab rather than the FI-Lab should be used.

Associations between inappropriate medication use and (instrumental) activities of daily living in geriatric rehabilitation inpatients: RESORT study.

BACKGROUND: Inappropriate medication use can affect functional independence in older adults. AIMS: The aim of the study is to examine associations between potentially inappropriate medication use and Activities of Daily Living (ADL) and Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADL) in geriatric rehabilitation inpatients. METHODS: A longitudinal, prospective, observational study was undertaken at a teaching hospital. Potentially inappropriate medications (PIMs) and potential prescribing omissions (PPOs) were measured at acute admission, and at admission and discharge from geriatric rehabilitation. Associations between PIM and PPO use and ADL and IADL scores were examined at admission to geriatric rehabilitation, discharge and 3-month post-discharge. RESULTS: A total of 693 inpatients were included. At the 3-month post-discharge, PPOs were associated with lower IADL scores (incident rate ratio = 0.868, 95% CI 0.776-0.972). There were no significant associations between PIMs and PPOs use at admission to geriatric rehabilitation with longitudinal changes of ADLs and IADLs from geriatric rehabilitation admission to 3-month post-discharge Renal PIMs were associated with higher IADL scores at 3-month post-discharge (incidence rate ratio = 1.750, 95% CI 1.238-2.474). At 3-month post-discharge, PPOs involving vaccinations were associated with a lower IADL score (incident risk ratio = 0.844, 95% CI 0.754-0.944). CONCLUSIONS: Inappropriate medication use involving PPOs was associated with lower IADL scores at 3-month post-discharge from geriatric rehabilitation but not with ADL scores. Greater attention is needed in reducing PPOs in geriatric rehabilitation inpatients that can potentially impact IADLs. In the community, health professionals need to be vigilant about assessing how older patients' physical functioning may be affected by inappropriate medication prescribing.

Trajectories of functional performance recovery after inpatient geriatric rehabilitation: an observational study.

OBJECTIVE: To identify functional performance trajectories and the characteristics of people who receive inpatient geriatric rehabilitation after hospital admissions. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS: REStORing health of acutely unwell adulTs (RESORT) is an observational, prospective, longitudinal inception cohort study of consecutive patients admitted to geriatric rehabilitation wards at the Royal Melbourne Hospital. Recruitment commenced on 15 October 2017. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Functional performance, assessed with the Activities of Daily Living (ADL) and Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADL) scales two weeks before acute hospitalisation, on admission to and discharge from geriatric rehabilitation, and three months after discharge from geriatric rehabilitation. RESULTS: A total of 618 rehabilitation patients were included in our analysis. For each of the two scales, three distinct functional performance trajectories were identified by latent class growth modelling: poor at baseline and 3-month follow-up (remained poor: ADL, 6.6% of patients; IADL, 42%), good at baseline but poor recovery (deteriorated: ADL, 33%; IADL, 20%), and good at baseline and good recovery (recovered: ADL, 60%; IADL, 35%). Higher Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) score (v recovered, per point: odds ratio [OR], 2.51; 95% CI, 1.64-3.84) and cognitive impairment (OR, 6.33; 95% CI, 2.09-19.1) were associated with greater likelihood of remaining poor in ADL, and also with deterioration (CFS score: OR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.45-2.13; cognitive impairment: OR, 1.87; 95% CI, 1.24-2.82). Higher CFS score (OR, 1.64; 95% CI, 1.37-1.97) and cognitive impairment (OR, 3.60; 95% CI, 2.31-5.61) were associated with remaining poor in IADL, and higher CFS score was also associated with deterioration (OR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.33-1.99). CONCLUSIONS: Based on ADL assessments, most people who underwent inpatient geriatric rehabilitation regained their baseline functional performance. As higher CFS score and cognitive impairment were associated with poorer functional recovery, assessing frailty and cognition at hospital admission could assist intervention and discharge planning.

Malnutrition is associated with poor trajectories of activities of daily living in geriatric rehabilitation inpatients: RESORT.

Malnutrition is associated with poor functional performance in geriatric rehabilitation inpatients. However, it is unclear if malnourished patients have poor functional trajectories over time. This study aimed to determine the association between (the risk of) malnutrition at admission and trajectories of Activities of Daily Living (ADL) and Instrumental ADL (IADL) from pre-admission to post-discharge in geriatric rehabilitation inpatients. An observational, longitudinal study was conducted in the REStORing health of acutely unwell adulTs (RESORT) cohort of geriatric rehabilitation inpatients. A total of 618 patients (mean age 82.1 ± 7.8 years, 57.4 % females) were included. The prevalence of the risk of malnutrition, by Malnutrition Screening Tool (MST) was 41.3 % (n = 255) and malnutrition by the Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition (GLIM) and European Society for Clinical Nutrition and Metabolism (ESPEN) criteria were 53.5 % (n = 331) and 13.1 % (n = 81) respectively. Malnutrition by the GLIM criteria but not the ESPEN criteria nor the risk of malnutrition, was associated with ADL trajectories of 'remained poor' (OR: 3.33, 95 %CI: 1.21-9.19) and 'deteriorated' (OR: 1.68, 95 %CI: 1.13-2.52) compared to the 'recovered' trajectory. The risk of malnutrition and malnutrition were not associated with IADL trajectories. Malnutrition at admission was associated with poor ADL trajectories but not IADL trajectories in geriatric rehabilitation inpatients.

Do morbidity measures predict the decline of activities of daily living and instrumental activities of daily living amongst older inpatients? A systematic review.

OBJECTIVES: Older adults often suffer from multimorbidity, which results in hospitalisations. These are often associated with poor health outcomes such as functional dependence and mortality. The aim of this review was to summarise the current literature on the capacities of morbidity measures in predicting activities of daily living (ADL) and instrumental activities of daily living (IADL) amongst inpatients. METHODS: A systematic literature search was performed using four databases: Medline, Cochrane, Embase, and Cinahl Central from inception to 6th March 2019. Keywords included comorbidity, multimorbidity, ADL, and iADL, along with specific morbidity measures. Articles reporting on morbidity measures predicting ADL and IADL decline amongst inpatients aged 65 years or above were included. RESULTS: Out of 7334 unique articles, 12 articles were included reporting on 7826 inpatients (mean age 77.6 years, 52.7% females). Out of five morbidity measures, the Charlson Comorbidity Index was most often reported. Overall, morbidity measures were poorly associated with ADL and IADL decline amongst older inpatients. CONCLUSION: Morbidity measures are poor predictors for ADL or IADL decline amongst older inpatients and follow-up duration does not alter the performance of morbidity measures.

Morbidity Measures Predicting Mortality in Inpatients: A Systematic Review.

OBJECTIVES: Morbidity is an important risk factor for mortality and a variety of morbidity measures have been developed to predict patients' health outcomes. The objective of this systematic review was to compare the capacity of morbidity measures in predicting mortality among inpatients admitted to internal medicine, geriatric, or all hospital wards. DESIGN: A systematic literature search was conducted from inception to March 6, 2019 using 4 databases: Medline, Embase, Cochrane, and CINAHL. Articles were included if morbidity measures were used to predict mortality (registration CRD42019126674). SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Inpatients with a mean or median age ≥65 years. MEASUREMENTS: Morbidity measures predicting mortality. RESULTS: Of the 12,800 articles retrieved from the databases, a total of 34 articles were included reporting on inpatients admitted to internal medicine, geriatric, or all hospital wards. The Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) was reported most frequently and a higher CCI score was associated with greater mortality risk, primarily at longer follow-up periods. Articles comparing morbidity measures revealed that the Geriatric Index of Comorbidity was better predicting mortality risk than the CCI, Cumulative Illness Rating Scale, Index of Coexistent Disease, and disease count. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Higher morbidity measure scores are better in predicting mortality at longer follow-up period. The Geriatric Index of Comorbidity was best in predicting mortality and should be used more often in clinical practice to assist clinical decision making.